Sexual Astrology - Books : Predictable Surprises: The Disasters You Should Have Seen Coming, and How to Prevent Them (Center for Public Leadership)

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by: Max H. Bazerman, Michael D. Watkins See Larger Image List Price: $14.95 Our Price: $11.96 You Save: $2.99 (20%) Prices subject to change. Used Price: $9.57 Third Party New Price: $8.97 Availability: Usually ships in 24 hours This item ships for FREE with Super Saver Shipping. Binding: Paperback Dewey Decimal Number: 658 EAN: 9781422122877 ISBN: 1422122875 Label: Harvard Business School Press Manufacturer: Harvard Business School Press Number Of Items: 1 Number Of Pages: 336 Publication Date: April 16, 2008 Publisher: Harvard Business School Press Sales Rank: 558502 Studio: Harvard Business School Press Related Items: The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable Know-How: The 8 Skills That Separate People Who Perform from Those Who Don't Financial Shenanigans: How to Detect Accounting Gimmicks & Fraud in Financial Reports, Second Edition Predictably Irrational: The Hidden Forces That Shape Our Decisions The First 90 Days: Critical Success Strategies for New Leaders at All Levels see more Editorial Review: Product Description: Even the best-run companies can get blindsided by disasters they should have anticipated. These predictable surprises range from financial scandals to operational disruptions, from organizational upheavals to product failures. In Predictable Surprises, Max H. Bazerman and Michael D. Watkins show you how to minimize your risk by understanding and lowering the psychological, organizational, and political barriers preventing you from foreseeing calamity. They then describe the powerful tools--including incentives and formal coalitions--that business leaders can use to ferret out and fend off threats invisible to insiders. Failure see what's coming exposes your company to predictable surprises. Given the stakes involved, this book should count among every business leader's most trusted resources. Customer Reviews Average Rating: Rating: - This is a great business book! This book underscores how well-wishing and positive thinking are not effective ways of handling risks of business. It's a great book to help you get past the human tendancies to think and hope and actually PLAN for the future. Rating: - Enlightening The book jumps around but makes clear and valid points. A great eye opener! I would recommend this to students, leaders, informed citizens...just about anybody. I'm definitely getting more copies for friends and loved ones. Rating: - On Target - Bullseye - Should have seen it coming Anyone who has worked for some sort of organization, government agency, business, university or whatever, will empathise with "Predictable Surprises" by Bazerman and Watkins. This book focuses on the early and late warning signs, the cover-ups, the denials, and the eventual consequences of failing to take action to avert disaster. I've been in far too many situations where I observed that the peple "in charge" (really??) were blindsided by their own limited vision to the realities of what was happening ... Read More Rating: - Predictably bad A major shortcoming of Bazerman and Watkins' book is the failure to provide adequate evidence to support their arguments about what they call "predictable surprises", which they define as "an event or series of events that take an individual or group by surprise, despite prior awareness of all of the information necessary to anticipate the events and their consequences." Bazerman and Watkins build their case substantially on just two examples: aviation security failures leading to the terrorist attacks of ... Read More Rating: - Predictably OK In a world ruled by probability, all predictions eventually come true (no matter how impossible.) That said, ignoring the obvious can be disastrous, but the authors methods for prioritizing risk were disappointing. see more Browse for similar items by category: Blowout Books - Specialty Stores - Books - All Deals Blowout Books - Specialty Stores - Books - Business & Investing Management & Leadership - Business & Investing - Subjects - Books - Decision-Making & Problem Solving Management & Leadership - Business & Investing - Subjects - Books - Management Management & Leadership - Business & Investing - Subjects - Books - Planning & Forecasting